Has China's coal consumption actually reached its peak? National and regional analysis considering cross-sectional dependence and heterogeneity

To investigate whether China's coal consumption has actually peaked, this study tests the national and regional coal Kuznets curve (CKC) hypothesis by using a panel dataset of 30 provinces covering 2000 to 2016. To fully capture the trends of coal consumption at the national, regional, and provincial levels, this study proposes a novel regional division method based on coal dependence and economic level. Considering the potential cross-sectional dependence and slope homogeneity, the newly developed methods allowing for heterogeneous slope coefficients are employed. The whole panel and subpanel results validate the CKC hypothesis for China, and province-specific results are mixed. The subpanel results reveal that only in the coal-dependent developing region has the peak of coal consumption not been reached, and for other regions, coal consumption displays a downward trend along with gross domestic product (GDP) increases. Furthermore, the province-specific results suggest that coal consumption will continue to increase slightly in certain provinces. This study implies that to reduce coal consumption, the coal-dependent developing region and provinces with a future turning point should act with great urgency to achieve a balance of economic growth and environmental responsibility. In addition, policymakers formulating coal consumption reduction policy in China must consider the remarkable differences across regions and provinces.     

赵庄井田煤层气成藏条件研究

煤层气成藏条件研究是有效划分成藏类型或含气系统，煤层气富集高渗有利区预测、评价及优选的关键基础工作。基于赵庄井田煤层气地质条件及相关测试资料，借鉴前人研究成果，从煤生烃、煤层气储集和煤层气封盖保存条件等方面对赵庄井田煤层气成藏条件进行了研究。研究结果表明:煤中丰富的生烃物质在良好的生烃动力作用下，提高了生烃率和生烃量，为煤层气成藏提供了基础条件；煤变质程度高，促使煤中微小孔隙发育，煤层气储集能力增强和储集空间增大，有利于煤层气大量储存和富集；煤层埋深、围岩特性、构造及地下水径流等地质条件的有机匹配，为煤层气成藏提供了良好的封盖保存条件，是煤层气成藏的关键因素。     

Flame extension and the near field under the ceiling for travelling fires inside large compartments

Structures need to be designed to maintain their stability in the event of a fire. The travelling fire methodology (TFM) defines the thermal boundary condition for structural design of large compartments of fires that do not flashover, considering near field and far field regions. TFM assumes a near field temperature of 1200°C, where the flame is impinging on the ceiling without any extension and gives the temperature of the hot gases in the far field from Alpert correlations. This paper revisits the near field assumptions of the TFM and, for the first time, includes horizontal flame extension under the ceiling, which affects the heating exposure of the structural members thus their load-bearing capacity. It also formulates the thermal boundary condition in terms of heat flux rather than in terms of temperature as it is used in TFM, which allows for a more formal treatment of heat transfer. The Hasemi, Wakamatsu, and Lattimer models of heat flux from flame are investigated for the near field. The methodology is applied to an open-plan generic office compartment with a floor area of 960 m² and 3.60 m high with concrete and with protected and unprotected steel structural members. The near field length with flame extension (fTFM) is found to be between 1.5 and 6.5 times longer than without flame extension. The duration of the exposure to peak heat flux depends on the flame length, which is 53 min for fTFM compared with 17 min for TFM, in the case of a slow 5% floor area fire. The peak heat flux is from 112 to 236 kW/m² for the majority of fire sizes using the Wakamatsu model and from 80 to 120 kW/m² for the Hasemi and Lattimer models, compared with 215 to 228 kW/m² for TFM. The results show that for all cases, TFM results in higher structural temperatures compared with different fTFM models (600°C for concrete rebar and 800°C for protected steel beam), except for the Wakamatsu model that for small fires, leads to approximately 20% higher temperatures than TFM. These findings mitigate the uncertainty around the TFM near field model and confirm that it is conservative for calculation of the thermal load on structures. This study contributes to the creation of design tools for better structural fire engineering.     

六盘水市煤炭行业竞争战略分析

我国是富煤贫油少气的国家，煤炭是我国最重要的一次能源。但从能源激烈的竞争市场环境而言，当前我国煤炭行业发展出现了困境。为了更好地发展六盘水地区的煤炭行业，结合竞争战略理论和六盘水市的煤炭行业发展状况，运用PEST分析法和波特五力模型对六盘水市煤炭行业进行分析，得出整合资源，结合自身优势大力吸引人才，最终达到产业转型的生态化煤炭发展战略模型。分析结果可为提高六盘水煤炭行业竞争力提供理论支持。     

SAM智能综采技术在龙滩煤矿的应用

介绍了四川省首个智能综采设备在龙滩煤矿3124S工作面的应用情况,总结了SAM智能化综采的六大核心技术,包括成套设备一键启停、液压支架自动跟机、采煤机记忆割煤、机巷远程集中控制、工作环境智能监控、工况监测及故障诊断。通过现场应用,一键启停功能成功率超过90%、自动跟机率平均88%、记忆割煤使用率62%,实现了工作面设备集中控制、回采参数实时监控及故障诊断。结果表明,相较于传统综采工作面,智能化综采工作面生产人员减少50%,工效提高63%,单产提高65%。     

小青煤矿北二采区4煤层顶板含水砂岩富水性研究

由于小青煤矿北二采区顶板含水砂岩较为发育,给安全生产造成了隐患,为保证矿井安全生产,通过对顶板砂岩沉积、岩性和地质构造等因素进行研究,分析了4煤层顶板含水砂岩的富水性。该项研究对类似条件下其他矿井水害防治工作具有一定的参考价值。     

大柳塔煤矿五盘区5-2煤层DDF2断层特征

大柳塔煤矿五盘区5-2煤层在三维地震资料解释中发现存在一条影响较大、伸展较远的断层（DDF2断层）横切5-2煤层。综合研究表明，DDF2断层为走向为东南—西北方向（111°～291°）、倾向为西南方向（201°）的高角度正断层。该断层为坳陷盆地形成后控制部分煤层沉积:在D306钻孔和D307钻孔所在区域形成时间较早，形成于5-2煤层沉积之后，结束于4-3煤层形成之后，控制5-2煤与4-3煤之间的地层沉积，为同沉积断层；该断层在D304钻孔和D305钻孔所在区域形成时间较晚，形成于4-2煤层沉积之后，结束于3-1煤层形成之后，局部控制4-2煤层与3-1煤层之间沉积，为准同生沉积断层。DDF2断层形成于东南方向，逐渐向西北方向迁移、加剧到最后尖灭。     

两池火耦合作用下柴油拱顶罐热响应的数值模拟

化工园区多池火事故是典型的高后果低概率事件。鉴于目前两池火辐射模型存在一定局限性，本文采用数值模拟方法，以3个直线排布的5000m³柴油拱顶罐为研究场景，从热释放速率、火焰形态、热辐射强度三方面分析两池火燃烧特性，并与单池火场景对比，考虑储罐间距这一影响因素，进一步研究目标储罐热响应。结果表明：采用GB 50160—2008（2018年版）规定的防火间距，两燃烧罐产生的池火会发生耦合作用，并得出目标储罐受到的热辐射强度分布，最高热辐射达17.04kW/m²；两池火作用下目标储罐的温度、Mises应力与失效时间分别为644℃、356MPa、936s，单池火为488℃、280MPa、2880s，目标储罐在两池火作用下的变形也比单池火更为严重；随着储罐间距增加，目标储罐的温度与Mises应力逐渐减小，失效时间逐渐增加，当储罐间距为标准防火间距的2.5倍（20m）时，失效时间为2800s，与单池火作用产生的失效时间2880s较为接近。本研究可为优化储罐防火间距及区域韧性提升提供理论指导。     

灭火器的定位和有效性辨识研究

智慧消防是智慧城市建设的重要组成部分，在消防工作创新发展中发挥重要作用。灭火器作为扑救初期火灾的最普遍、最便捷和最广泛使用的灭火设施，在初期火灾的扑救和火灾防控中发挥重要的作用，其有效性和完好性是扑救初期火灾的必要条件。基于物联网及大数据的优势，建立消防灭火设施的定位与有效性辨识系统，并介绍系统的关键技术、网络架构、技术特征。此系统可对灭火器等消防灭火设施的伺应状态、完好性、有效性等功能特性进行跟踪巡检和辨识，以实现对灭火器的实时监控和智能化管理，促进消防设施建设的完善和优化，增强灭火系统的可靠性，充分发挥智慧消防技术在智慧城市建设中的优势。     

煤与不同原料重整气化制甲醇对CO2排放的影响

通过介绍煤制甲醇对整个煤化工行业CO2排放的影响,选择以煤制甲醇工艺CO2排放为研究对象,分别叙述了煤气化制合成气,煤与天然气、煤与焦炉气以及煤与重质油重整气化制合成气联合生产甲醇过程中,吨甲醇产品工艺CO2排放情况,探讨不同煤气化形式对工艺CO2排放的影响因素,为如何通过气化工艺选型,降低煤制甲醇生产过程中工艺CO2排放量提供理论判断依据。